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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 11 H, 0 EMarlins · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Javier Sanoja flies out to right fielder Jase Bowen.
bot 9Liam Hicks pops out to third baseman Manny Machado.
bot 9Xavier Edwards pops out to third baseman Manny Machado.
top 9Manny Machado grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Jake Cronenworth out at 2nd. Manny Machado out at 1st.
top 9Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.72
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. walks.
top 9Freddy Fermin grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández grounds out, pitcher Matt Waldron to first baseman Ty France.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 3-4 · Ty France 2-4, 3 RBI · Luis Rengifo 1-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 2-2 · Jakob Marsee 1-2 · Kyle Stowers 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.