Statball

← All live games · loanDepot park

San Diego Padres
4
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911211
Padres · 5 H, 1 EMarlins · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Stowers strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Otto Lopez grounds out sharply, third baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
bot 9Joe Mack grounds out to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
top 9Jase Bowen strikes out swinging.
top 9Manny Machado grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Jake Cronenworth grounds out sharply, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 8Javier Sanoja flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 8Leo Jiménez walks.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Rengifo 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Manny Machado 2-5, 1 RBI · Ty France 2-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.