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Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Guardians · 11 H, 0 EMarlins · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 9Joe Mack grounds out softly, pitcher Colin Holderman to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 9Jakob Marsee grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Chase DeLauter grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Brayan Rocchio out at 2nd. Chase DeLauter out at 1st.
top 9Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Travis Bazzana strikes out swinging.
bot 8Griffin Conine flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Arias 3-4 · Brayan Rocchio 2-5 · Kahlil Watson 1-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 2-3, 1 RBI · Griffin Conine 1-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.