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Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 7 H, 2 EMarlins · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dominic Canzone flies out to left fielder Griffin Conine.
top 9Randy Arozarena flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9J.P. Crawford called out on strikes.
top 9Colt Emerson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Kyle Stowers grounds into a double play, second baseman Cole Young to shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Otto Lopez out at 2nd. Kyle Stowers out at 1st.
bot 8Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Otto Lopez walks.
top 8Victor Robles lines out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Raley 2-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 2-3, 1 RBI · Leo Jiménez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.