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Seattle Mariners
5
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
6
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 8 H, 1 EMarlins · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jakob Marsee singles on a fly ball to right fielder Miles Mastrobuoni. Xavier Edwards scores. Esteury Ruiz to 2nd.56
bot 10Heriberto Hernández lines out to right fielder Miles Mastrobuoni. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.
top 10Mitch Garver grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 10Josh Naylor flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 10Cal Raleigh reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Otto Lopez to third baseman Javier Sanoja. Weston Wilson out at 3rd.
bot 9Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena in foul territory.
bot 9Otto Lopez pops out to shortstop Colt Emerson.
bot 9Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-3 · Cal Raleigh 2-5, 1 RBI
Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 3-5 · Owen Caissie 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.