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Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 5 H, 0 EMarlins · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cole Young called out on strikes.
top 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to right fielder Griffin Conine.
bot 8Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Otto Lopez grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Liam Hicks flies out to center fielder Victor Robles.
top 8Dominic Canzone grounds out to first baseman Kyle Stowers.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-3 · J.P. Crawford 1-4 · Dominic Canzone 1-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4, 1 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.