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San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 4 H, 0 EMarlins · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Willy Adames grounds into a double play, third baseman Javier Sanoja to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Jonah Cox out at 2nd. Willy Adames out at 1st.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee flies out to left fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9Rafael Devers walks.
bot 8Griffin Conine grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Jakob Marsee out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers. Connor Norby to 2nd.
bot 8Connor Norby singles on a fly ball to left fielder Casey Schmitt.
bot 8Joe Mack grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 8Casey Schmitt flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 2-4, 1 RBI · Drew Gilbert 1-3 · Luis Arraez 1-4
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 1-3 · Xavier Edwards 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.