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San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 9 H, 0 EMarlins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Arraez flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Daniel Susac grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Drew Gilbert pops out to catcher Liam Hicks in foul territory.
bot 8Liam Hicks strikes out swinging.
bot 8Javier Sanoja lines out to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Connor Norby to 3rd.
bot 8Esteury Ruiz walks. Connor Norby to 2nd.
bot 8Connor Norby singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt.
bot 8Jakob Marsee lines out to second baseman Luis Arraez.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Casey Schmitt 2-4, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Owen Caissie 3-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.