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Arizona Diamondbacks
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 3 H, 0 EMarlins · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9LuJames Groover strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Geraldo Perdomo flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Tommy Troy.
bot 8Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
bot 8Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.
bot 8Liam Hicks pops out to catcher Adrian Del Castillo in foul territory.
top 8Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
LuJames Groover 1-4 · Ketel Marte 1-4 · Jorge Barrosa 1-3
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 2-4 · Jakob Marsee 1-2, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.