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Arizona Diamondbacks
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 6 H, 0 EMarlins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ketel Marte grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Christopher Morel.
top 9Tommy Troy grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Christopher Morel. Ryan Waldschmidt to 3rd.
top 9Ryan Waldschmidt doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas flies out to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 8Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Liam Hicks grounds out softly, pitcher Drey Jameson to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Tommy Troy.
top 8Geraldo Perdomo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 2-3 · Nolan Arenado 1-3 · Ryan Waldschmidt 1-4
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Owen Caissie 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.