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Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789122
Rays · 6 H, 1 EMarlins · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cedric Mullins called out on strikes.
top 9Junior Caminero flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Richie Palacios grounds out to first baseman Connor Norby. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.
top 9Jonathan Aranda singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cole Sulser intentionally walks Xavier Edwards.
bot 8Kyle Stowers grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Otto Lopez to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 1-4 · Ryan Vilade 1-3 · Hunter Feduccia 1-3
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 64 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 2-4, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-4 · Jakob Marsee 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.