Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 5 H, 1 EMarlins · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonathan Aranda walks. Oliver Dunn to 2nd.
top 9Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Taylor Walls scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.34
top 9Chandler Simpson walks.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. grounds out, first baseman Liam Hicks to pitcher Pete Fairbanks. Ben Williamson to 3rd. Taylor Walls to 2nd.
top 9Taylor Walls singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Javier Sanoja. Ben Williamson to 2nd.
top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Ben Williamson walks.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 3-5, 2 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-4 · Victor Mesa Jr. 1-3
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.