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Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
0
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893111
Rays · 12 H, 0 EMarlins · 2 H, 1 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
bot 9Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Liam Hicks pops out softly to third baseman Junior Caminero.
bot 9Esteury Ruiz singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Junior Caminero.
top 9Nick Fortes flies out to left fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
top 9Ryan Vilade strikes out swinging.
top 9Richie Palacios walks. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 3-5 · Junior Caminero 3-3 · Cedric Mullins 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 1-3 · Javier Sanoja 1-3 · Jakob Marsee 0-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.