Statball

← All live games · loanDepot park

New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Mets · 3 H, 0 EMarlins · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, third baseman Graham Pauley to first baseman Connor Norby.
top 9Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Tyrone Taylor scores.14
top 9Tyrone Taylor doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 9Juan Soto grounds out, pitcher Andrew Nardi to shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Connor Norby.
top 9Bo Bichette grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Connor Norby pops out to shortstop Bo Bichette.
bot 8Jakob Marsee lines out to third baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Kyle Stowers flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 2-3, 1 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 1-1 · Luis Torrens 0-2
Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Xavier Edwards 1-4 · Graham Pauley 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.