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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 1 EMarlins · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Curtis Mead lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Jacob Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9CJ Abrams called out on strikes.
bot 8Javier Sanoja grounds out, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Joe Mack called out on strikes.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Jakob Marsee scores. Christopher Morel scores.25
bot 8Christopher Morel singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Esteury Ruiz scores.23

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-4 · Luis García Jr. 2-4, 1 RBI · Jorbit Vivas 1-3
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 2-4, 2 RBI · Christopher Morel 1-4, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.