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Washington Nationals
7
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893132114
Nationals · 11 H, 2 EMarlins · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9CJ Abrams flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Jorbit Vivas reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Leo Jiménez to shortstop Otto Lopez. Joey Wiemer out at 3rd.
top 9Luis García Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Drew Millas scores. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.78
top 9James Wood doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Drew Millas to 3rd.
top 9Nasim Nuñez pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
top 9Drew Millas singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. José Tena scores.58
bot 8Otto Lopez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis García Jr. 3-5, 2 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-5, 2 RBI
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Xavier Edwards 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.