Statball

← All live games · loanDepot park

Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111211
Orioles · 9 H, 1 EMarlins · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Javier Sanoja reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo. Joe Mack scores.34
bot 9Joe Mack doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Stowers pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso in foul territory.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, first baseman Liam Hicks to pitcher Calvin Faucher.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esteury Ruiz, deflected by second baseman Xavier Edwards.
top 9Coby Mayo flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 2-3 · Coby Mayo 2-4 · Jeremiah Jackson 1-3
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4 · Xavier Edwards 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.