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Washington Nationals
3
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 2 EMarlins · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Leo Jiménez grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Heriberto Hernández out at 2nd.
bot 9Heriberto Hernández walks. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.
bot 9Javier Sanoja reaches on a throwing error by shortstop CJ Abrams.
bot 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
bot 9Liam Hicks flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9James Wood lines out to first baseman Christopher Morel.
top 9Luis García Jr. lines out to center fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9Nasim Nuñez flies out to center fielder Esteury Ruiz.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Young 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 1-4 · CJ Abrams 1-3, 1 RBI
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Otto Lopez 3-4 · Leo Jiménez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.