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Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 7 H, 0 EMarlins · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Javier Sanoja strikes out swinging.
bot 9Otto Lopez grounds into a double play, pitcher Rico Garcia to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Owen Caissie out at 2nd. Otto Lopez out at 1st.
bot 9Owen Caissie walks.
top 9Pete Alonso lines out sharply to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 9Adley Rutschman walks.
top 9Taylor Ward called out on strikes.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Christopher Morel flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Adley Rutschman 2-3, 2 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-3
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 1-4, 2 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-4 · Kyle Stowers 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.