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Baltimore Orioles
9
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
7
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 10 H, 1 EMarlins · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Stowers grounds out softly, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Otto Lopez grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Colton Cowser flies out to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 9Leody Taveras singles on a line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Pete Alonso scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.97
top 9Adley Rutschman singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Taylor Ward scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd.87
top 9Pete Alonso walks.
top 9Tyler O'Neill flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 3-4, 4 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-3, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-5
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Otto Lopez 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.