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Philadelphia Phillies
7
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 11 H, 0 EMarlins · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Leo Jiménez grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Christopher Morel flies out to left fielder Felix Reyes.
top 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
top 9Alec Bohm flies out to center fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 9Bryce Harper grounds out, second baseman Leo Jiménez to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Graham Pauley flies out to right fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 8Connor Norby grounds into a double play, third baseman Alec Bohm to second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Owen Caissie out at 2nd. Connor Norby out at 1st.
bot 8Owen Caissie singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Brandon Marsh.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 2-4
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christopher Morel 2-4 · Otto Lopez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.