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Philadelphia Phillies
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 1 H, 0 EMarlins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trea Turner flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Felix Reyes strikes out swinging.
top 9Edmundo Sosa lines out to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Otto Lopez grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Kyle Stowers flies out to left fielder Garrett Stubbs.
bot 8Jakob Marsee walks.
bot 8Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 8J.T. Realmuto flies out sharply to left fielder Esteury Ruiz.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 68 batters faced over the last two days
Garrett Stubbs 1-2 · Bryce Harper 0-3 · J.T. Realmuto 0-3
Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Connor Norby 2-3, 1 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.