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St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 4 H, 1 EMarlins · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
top 9José Fermín flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Ramón Urías pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
top 9Nolan Gorman walks.
top 9Iván Herrera homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.14
bot 8Xavier Edwards strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jakob Marsee pops out to shortstop Thomas Saggese on the infield fly rule.
bot 8Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to shortstop Thomas Saggese. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd. Graham Pauley to 2nd.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Iván Herrera 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nolan Gorman 1-3 · Nathan Church 1-3
Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-4 · Heriberto Hernández 2-4 · Agustín Ramírez 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.