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St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 10 H, 1 EMarlins · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Xavier Edwards lines out to left fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Otto Lopez grounds into a force out, third baseman Nolan Gorman to second baseman JJ Wetherholt. Jakob Marsee out at 2nd. Otto Lopez to 1st.
bot 9Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to second baseman JJ Wetherholt.
top 9Iván Herrera singles on a fly ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Iván Herrera out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Jakob Marsee to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
top 9JJ Wetherholt flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Victor Scott II walks.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.53

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Church 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4, 2 RBI · Masyn Winn 2-4
Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-1, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.