Statball

← All live games · loanDepot park

Milwaukee Brewers
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
5
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891232
Brewers · 5 H, 1 EMarlins · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blake Perkins grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Connor Norby.
top 9Brandon Lockridge strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Xavier Edwards strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jakob Marsee grounds out, first baseman Luis Rengifo to pitcher Carlos Rodriguez.
bot 8Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Brandon Lockridge.
top 8William Contreras lines out to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 8Gary Sánchez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Sal Frelick scores. Garrett Mitchell scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.35
top 8Brice Turang walks. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Garrett Mitchell to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Rengifo 1-4 · Sal Frelick 1-1 · Brandon Lockridge 1-4
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 2-3 · Liam Hicks 2-3, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-2, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.