Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 7 H, 2 EMarlins · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt McLain grounds out, third baseman Graham Pauley to first baseman Liam Hicks. Dane Myers to 3rd. Will Benson to 2nd.
top 9TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.
top 9Will Benson walks. Dane Myers to 2nd.
top 9Dane Myers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 8Liam Hicks lines into a double play, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart. Agustín Ramírez out at 1st.
bot 8Agustín Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Graham Pauley scores. Jakob Marsee scores.18
bot 8Xavier Edwards strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt McLain 2-5 · Spencer Steer 2-4
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-4, 2 RBI · Owen Caissie 3-4, 3 RBI · Agustín Ramírez 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.