Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
7
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 9 H, 2 EMarlins · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Matt McLain called out on strikes.
top 9TJ Friedl grounds out to first baseman Connor Norby. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Noelvi Marte to 2nd.
top 9Noelvi Marte singles on a ground ball to third baseman Graham Pauley. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.
top 9Tyler Stephenson singles on a ground ball to third baseman Graham Pauley.
bot 8Xavier Edwards flies out to left fielder Will Benson.
bot 8Jakob Marsee singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
bot 8Graham Pauley strikes out swinging.
bot 8Javier Sanoja lines out to left fielder Will Benson.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · TJ Friedl 3-5 · Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 1 RBI
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Connor Norby 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.