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Cincinnati Reds
6
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 5 H, 0 EMarlins · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Connor Norby grounds into a double play, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer. Graham Pauley out at 2nd. Connor Norby out at 1st.
bot 10Graham Pauley grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Jakob Marsee scores. Otto Lopez out at 2nd. Graham Pauley to 1st.63
bot 10Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.
top 10Will Benson flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 10John King intentionally walks Sal Stewart.
top 10Elly De La Cruz grounds out, third baseman Graham Pauley to first baseman Connor Norby. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.62
top 10Matt McLain doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Javier Sanoja. Tyler Stephenson scores. Dane Myers scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd.52
top 10TJ Friedl walks. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Dane Myers to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 2-5, 2 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-3, 1 RBI · Noelvi Marte 1-4
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-3, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.