Statball

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Chicago White Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
9
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 5 H, 3 EMarlins · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tristan Peters strikes out swinging, catcher Agustín Ramírez to first baseman Liam Hicks.
top 9Austin Hays strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
bot 8Graham Pauley flies out to right fielder Tristan Peters in foul territory.
bot 8Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores.29
bot 8Heriberto Hernández flies out to center fielder Luisangel Acuña. Otto Lopez to 3rd.
bot 8Owen Caissie out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Hays. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.27
bot 8Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Tristan Peters. Liam Hicks to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Luisangel Acuña 1-3 · Munetaka Murakami 1-4, 1 RBI · Edgar Quero 1-2
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.