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Chicago White Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
10
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 3 H, 1 EMarlins · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colson Montgomery grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Graham Pauley.
top 9Andrew Benintendi strikes out swinging.
top 9Lenyn Sosa pops out to second baseman Leo Jiménez.
bot 8Owen Caissie strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Connor Norby flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 8Liam Hicks flies out sharply to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 8Otto Lopez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.010
top 8Chase Meidroth grounds out to first baseman Graham Pauley.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-3 · Luisangel Acuña 1-3 · Chase Meidroth 1-4
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.