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Chicago White Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 9 H, 0 EMarlins · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Xavier Edwards grounds out, second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Miguel Vargas.
bot 9Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.
bot 9Heriberto Hernández walks.
bot 9Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Austin Hays.
top 9Austin Hays called out on strikes.
top 9Munetaka Murakami flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Miguel Vargas grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Connor Norby lines out to second baseman Lenyn Sosa.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Vargas 2-4, 1 HR, 6 RBI · Austin Hays 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Tristan Peters 2-3
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jakob Marsee 2-5, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.