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Colorado Rockies
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 6 H, 1 EMarlins · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brenton Doyle flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Ryan Ritter strikes out swinging.
top 9TJ Rumfield pops out to third baseman Graham Pauley in foul territory.
bot 8Connor Norby flies out to center fielder Brenton Doyle.
bot 8Griffin Conine grounds into a force out, second baseman Ryan Ritter to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Owen Caissie out at 2nd. Griffin Conine to 1st.
bot 8Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Otto Lopez scores.34
bot 8Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy.
top 8Ezequiel Tovar strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ezequiel Tovar 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · TJ Rumfield 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Troy Johnston 1-3
Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Owen Caissie 3-4, 1 RBI · Agustín Ramírez 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.