Statball

← All live games · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
1
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892211
Padres · 8 H, 0 EDodgers · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Freddie Freeman lines out sharply to left fielder Jase Bowen.
bot 9Shohei Ohtani strikes out swinging.
bot 9Mookie Betts strikes out swinging.
top 9Manny Machado pops out to second baseman Tommy Edman.
top 9Dustin Harris reaches on a fielder's choice out, first baseman Freddie Freeman to catcher Will Smith. Freddy Fermin out at home. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (31) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Freddy Fermin to 3rd.
top 9Freddy Fermin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Samad Taylor scores.5–1
top 9Samad Taylor walks.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-5 · Freddy Fermin 1-1, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Teoscar Hernández 3-4 · Andy Pages 3-4 · Kyle Tucker 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.