Statball

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San Diego Padres
4
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
2
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 6 H, 0 EDodgers · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mookie Betts grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.
bot 9Shohei Ohtani doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tommy Edman scores.4–2
bot 9Tommy Edman strikes out swinging. Tommy Edman to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Mason Miller.
bot 9Hunter Feduccia flies out to left fielder Jase Bowen.
bot 9Andy Pages called out on strikes.
top 9Samad Taylor called out on strikes.
top 9Sung-Mun Song strikes out swinging.
top 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, third baseman Miguel Rojas to first baseman Freddie Freeman.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ethan Salas 2-3, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-3, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-4
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mookie Betts 3-4 · Freddie Freeman 2-4 · Shohei Ohtani 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.