Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
4
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789322
Pirates · 6 H, 1 EDodgers · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Yorke pops out to second baseman Tommy Edman.
top 9Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
top 9Rafael Flores Jr. grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
bot 8Shohei Ohtani grounds out to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
bot 8Ben Rortvedt flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 8Alek Thomas reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Nick Gonzales. Alek Thomas to 2nd.
bot 8Teoscar Hernández strikes out swinging.
top 8Oneil Cruz called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 2-3 · Nick Yorke 1-4 · Bryan Reynolds 1-4
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Max Muncy 3-3 · Kyle Tucker 1-4, 2 RBI · Freddie Freeman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.