Statball

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Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
5
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 6 H, 0 EDodgers · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Max Muncy singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.4–5
bot 10Lucas Erceg intentionally walks Kyle Tucker.
bot 10Andy Pages grounds out, pitcher Lucas Erceg to first baseman Jac Caglianone. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd. Freddie Freeman to 2nd.
bot 10Lucas Erceg intentionally walks Freddie Freeman.
top 10Salvador Perez grounds out, second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 10Seth Halvorsen intentionally walks Jac Caglianone.
top 10Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
top 10Nick Loftin lines out to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-5 · Tyler Tolbert 1-2
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mookie Betts 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Max Muncy 2-4, 1 RBI · Tommy Edman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.