Statball

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Boston Red Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
4
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 12 H, 0 EDodgers · 10 H, 2 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Andy Pages called out on strikes.
bot 9Shohei Ohtani grounds out sharply, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Nick Sogard.
bot 9Eliezer Alfonzo flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Nick Sogard flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9Carlos Narváez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Jahmai Jones scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd. Jarren Duran to 2nd.94
top 9Evan Phillips intentionally walks Jarren Duran.
top 9Andruw Monasterio grounds out sharply, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Caleb Durbin doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Masataka Yoshida to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ceddanne Rafaela 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-4 · Jarren Duran 2-4, 2 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Shohei Ohtani 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Freddie Freeman 3-4, 1 RBI · Kyle Tucker 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.