Statball

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Seattle Mariners
7
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
6
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 10 H, 2 EDodgers · 13 H, 0 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mookie Betts grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Max Muncy walks.
bot 9Freddie Freeman grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Andy Pages strikes out swinging.
bot 9Shohei Ohtani doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Dalton Rushing scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd. Shohei Ohtani advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Victor Robles.76
bot 9Dalton Rushing singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop J.P. Crawford.
top 9Cole Young lines out sharply to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9J.P. Crawford called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Rob Refsnyder 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Shohei Ohtani 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dalton Rushing 3-4 · Max Muncy 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.