Statball

← All live games · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Seattle Mariners
2
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
4
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111111
Mariners · 5 H, 0 EDodgers · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luke Raley lines out to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Josh Naylor doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Dominic Canzone scores.24
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Dominic Canzone to 3rd.
top 9Dominic Canzone hits a ground-rule double (16) on a line drive down the left-field line.
top 9Julio Rodríguez flies out sharply to center fielder Andy Pages.
bot 8Teoscar Hernández called out on strikes.
bot 8Kyle Tucker grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Mookie Betts strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 2-3, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI · Weston Wilson 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Andy Pages 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Freddie Freeman 2-4, 1 RBI · Shohei Ohtani 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.