Statball

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San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
3
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 4 H, 0 EDodgers · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ty France grounds out to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Gavin Sheets called out on strikes.
top 9Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Mookie Betts grounds into a double play, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France. Freddie Freeman out at 2nd. Mookie Betts out at 1st.
bot 8Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tommy Edman scores.03
bot 8Andy Pages grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France. Tommy Edman to 2nd.
bot 8Tommy Edman hit by pitch.
top 8Jake Cronenworth strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-4 · Gavin Sheets 1-3 · Xander Bogaerts 1-2
Los Angeles Dodgers
12 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Freddie Freeman 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andy Pages 1-4, 1 RBI · Mookie Betts 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.