Statball

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San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
4
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 8 H, 1 EDodgers · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9Miguel Andujar called out on strikes.
top 9Samad Taylor strikes out swinging.
bot 8Teoscar Hernández grounds out, third baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Kyle Tucker flies out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
bot 8Max Muncy walks.
bot 8Mookie Betts pops out to first baseman Ty France.
top 8Xander Bogaerts grounds out sharply, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Cronenworth 2-3 · Rodolfo Durán 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
12 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Teoscar Hernández 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Dalton Rushing 1-3 · Max Muncy 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.