Statball

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San Diego Padres
7
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
12
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 10 H, 0 EDodgers · 17 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ty France grounds out sharply, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Miguel Andujar singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Samad Taylor scores. Manny Machado to 2nd.712
top 9Manny Machado walks.
top 9Jake Cronenworth flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Samad Taylor walks.
bot 8Tommy Edman grounds into a double play, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France. Dalton Rushing out at 2nd. Tommy Edman out at 1st.
bot 8Dalton Rushing singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Kyle Tucker scores. Teoscar Hernández to 3rd.612

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Cronenworth 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
12 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 57 batters faced over the last two days
Dalton Rushing 4-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Kyle Tucker 4-4, 1 RBI · Max Muncy 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.