Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789122
Orioles · 7 H, 1 EDodgers · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Tucker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tommy Edman reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Leody Taveras. Freddie Freeman scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.32
bot 9Alex Freeland flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 9Freddie Freeman walks.
bot 9Andy Pages lines out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 9Shohei Ohtani homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.31
top 9Gunnar Henderson strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Taylor Ward singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 2-4 · Leody Taveras 2-4 · Taylor Ward 1-5
Los Angeles Dodgers
14 on the injured list (5 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Shohei Ohtani 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tommy Edman 2-4 · Mookie Betts 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.