Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
4
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
5
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 8 H, 0 EDodgers · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonathan Aranda walks. Austin Slater to 3rd. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.
top 9Alex Vesia intentionally walks Yandy Díaz.
top 9Taylor Walls pops out to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Ben Williamson flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
top 9Austin Slater walks.
bot 8Mookie Betts grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Freddie Freeman lines into a double play, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Andy Pages out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-4 · Yandy Díaz 2-3, 1 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-3, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
13 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Freddie Freeman 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andy Pages 2-4 · Dalton Rushing 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.