Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
9
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 0 EDodgers · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kyle Schwarber grounds out, second baseman Alex Freeland to first baseman Santiago Espinal.
top 9Justin Crawford reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Alex Freeland.
top 9Steward Berroa flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9Rafael Marchán lines out to second baseman Alex Freeland.
top 9Bryson Stott homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.19
bot 8Mookie Betts grounds into a double play, shortstop Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Garrett Stubbs. Andy Pages out at 2nd. Mookie Betts out at 1st.
bot 8Freddie Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Alex Freeland scores.09
bot 8Andy Pages walks. Alex Freeland to 3rd. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-4 · Alec Bohm 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
13 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Max Muncy 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alex Freeland 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Ward 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.