Statball

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Miami Marlins
2
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
1
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 8 H, 1 EDodgers · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alex Freeland grounds out, first baseman Graham Pauley to pitcher Tyler Phillips.
bot 9Hyeseong Kim flies out to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
bot 9Andy Pages singles on a ground ball to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 9Teoscar Hernández flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
top 9Graham Pauley pops out to first baseman Freddie Freeman in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 3-5 · Kyle Stowers 2-5, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Will Smith 3-4, 1 RBI · Kyle Tucker 1-3 · Freddie Freeman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.