Statball

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Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
12
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111264
Cubs · 9 H, 0 EDodgers · 14 H, 1 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Busch flies out sharply to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9Nicky Lopez called out on strikes.
top 9Miguel Amaya flies out to second baseman Alex Freeland.
bot 8Hyeseong Kim strikes out swinging.
bot 8Andy Pages pops out to second baseman Matt Shaw.
bot 8Dalton Rushing flies out sharply to left fielder Michael Conforto.
top 8Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
top 8Dansby Swanson grounds into a double play, third baseman Santiago Espinal to second baseman Alex Freeland to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Moisés Ballesteros out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Amaya 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Moisés Ballesteros 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Max Muncy 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Hyeseong Kim 2-5, 1 RBI · Teoscar Hernández 2-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.