Statball

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New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
4
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Mets · 3 H, 0 EDodgers · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Francisco Lindor grounds into a double play, third baseman Max Muncy to second baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Marcus Semien out at 2nd. Francisco Lindor out at 1st.
top 9Tyrone Taylor pops out to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Marcus Semien singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages.
bot 8Shohei Ohtani flies out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Miguel Rojas singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
bot 8Santiago Espinal strikes out on a foul tip.
top 8Tommy Pham grounds into a force out, shortstop Miguel Rojas to second baseman Santiago Espinal. Francisco Alvarez out at 2nd.
top 8Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 1-3 · Marcus Semien 1-3 · Jorge Polanco 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Andy Pages 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Miguel Rojas 3-4 · Freddie Freeman 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.