Statball

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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 4 H, 1 EDodgers · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Bo Bichette strikes out swinging.
top 9Jorge Polanco strikes out swinging.
bot 8Freddie Freeman lines out sharply to right fielder Brett Baty.
bot 8Will Smith called out on strikes.
bot 8Kyle Tucker singles on a soft fly ball to left fielder Carson Benge. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.12
bot 8Brooks Raley intentionally walks Shohei Ohtani.
bot 8Santiago Espinal out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Brooks Raley to first baseman Mark Vientos. Miguel Rojas to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Carson Benge 1-3
Los Angeles Dodgers
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Will Smith 1-4 · Kyle Tucker 1-3, 1 RBI · Max Muncy 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.