Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Guardians · 6 H, 0 EDodgers · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Will Smith flies out sharply to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
bot 9Freddie Freeman homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.41
bot 9Mookie Betts flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 9Kyle Tucker flies out to shortstop Gabriel Arias.
top 9Daniel Schneemann grounds out sharply, second baseman Alex Freeland to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Bo Naylor strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Rhys Hoskins grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
bot 8Shohei Ohtani strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Arias 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Ramírez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Naylor 2-4
Los Angeles Dodgers
8 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Freddie Freeman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andy Pages 3-3 · Teoscar Hernández 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.